Trilogy Metals

Kees Dekker Versus Trilogy Metals: An Analysis

Arctic project; exploration

1. Introduction

This time Kees analyzed Trilogy Metals, which sports one of the highest grade copper projects worldwide (Arctic). I found Kees' report interesting enough to obtain company feedback, and after a lengthy process of 6 weeks here is the end product for your convenience. Kees found several reasons to increase opex meaningfully compared to the PFS, so as a consequence the post-tax NPV8 came down significantly (from US$1412.7M to US$803.8M @US$3.00/lb Cu), and I estimated the adjusted IRR at 23% (from 33.4%), which are still strong numbers. At a current market cap of US$226M one could argue that Trilogy is undervalued, as Bornite hasn't been taken into consideration yet.

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